Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.638562 0.829989 1.046762 1.307210 1.608470 1.942983 2.339465
2025-03-16 0.369867 0.600897 0.899334 1.298152 1.802622 2.405958 3.168344
2025-03-23 0.242598 0.493054 0.858940 1.393693 2.118596 3.033419 4.241208
2025-03-30 0.153590 0.399857 0.807973 1.456248 2.389374 3.620123 5.302156
2025-04-06 0.091431 0.317510 0.746124 1.484176 2.606014 4.143420 6.306333
2025-04-13 0.046275 0.235526 0.656585 1.447240 2.716820 4.522173 7.131877
2025-04-20 0.023828 0.185737 0.606843 1.460210 2.894215 4.994320 8.094687
2025-04-27 0.011124 0.147167 0.564566 1.474609 3.068413 5.463846 9.064921
2025-05-04 0.003330 0.106083 0.497656 1.428367 3.135409 5.773970 9.817440
2025-05-11 0.000480 0.073711 0.434522 1.374043 3.178350 6.043570 10.514603
2025-05-18 0.000020 0.056382 0.404888 1.381491 3.323985 6.470979 11.446854
2025-05-25 NaN 0.038265 0.358180 1.340284 3.376334 6.751618 12.168580
2025-06-01 NaN 0.033444 0.362593 1.421823 3.663320 7.420870 13.494528
2025-06-08 NaN 0.023773 0.335563 1.421407 3.796712 7.849640 14.474524
2025-06-15 NaN 0.022029 0.349497 1.527946 4.140435 8.629383 15.999278
2025-06-22 NaN 0.018506 0.349469 1.597175 4.414846 9.303108 17.376826
2025-06-29 NaN 0.013952 0.336433 1.628309 4.615079 9.859434 18.586011
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008261 0.301539 1.589680 4.671482 10.176561 19.433896
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005520 0.285854 1.603877 4.834835 10.676019 20.570168
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003555 0.271719 1.619416 5.000297 11.181450 21.722198
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001516 0.240221 1.570221 5.023641 11.441972 22.494590
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000440 0.209150 1.512318 5.021686 11.655806 23.194672
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000151 0.197136 1.520292 5.165031 12.126804 24.308769